Can Sally Beauty Stock Continue To Grow After Posting 38{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} Gains?

Robert Hundley

Sally Beauty Holdings’ stock (NYSE: SBH), a distributor of professional beauty supplies in the United States, has increased by 38{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} in the last twenty-one trading days (one month). In comparison, the broader S&P500 index grew only 3{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} over the same period. The beauty products retailer which operates primarily through two businesses, Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group, saw its revenues rise 3{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} in its recent fiscal fourth quarter of 2021. Its comparable-store sales were also up 2.1{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}, which beat its forecast issued back in August. The retailer noted strength in its e-commerce channel, and profitability held steady despite increased cost pressures during the quarter. Looking ahead, the company expects sales to rise by 3.5{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} despite a modest decline in the store count in fiscal 2022.

Now, is SBH stock still poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a very low chance of a rise in SBH stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on SBH Stock Chance Of Rise for more details.

And if you are considering SBH’s stock as an investment option over a longer time frame, you can explore our forecast for Sally Beauty Revenue comparison dashboard that compares against its peers and history.

[1] Returns of 0.05{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} or higher over a five-day period in 1259 times out of 2516 (50{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}); Stock rose in the next five days in 576 of these 1259 instances (46{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720})

[2] Returns of 6{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} or higher over a ten-day period in 402 times out of 2516 (16{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}); Stock rose in the next ten days in 192 of these 402 instances (48{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720})

[3] Returns of 38{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720} or higher over a twenty-one-day period in 22 times out of 2516 (1{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}); Stock rose in the next twenty-one days in 8 of these 22 instances (36{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720})

Also, Sally Beauty Peer Comparisons summarizes how the company fares against peers on metrics that matter.

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016.

Returns                                Nov’21 MTD [1]          YTD [1]            2017-21 [2]    

SBH Return                                    32{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                        55{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                        -24{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}            

S&P 500 Return                              1{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                          22{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                        105{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}            

Trefis MS Portfolio Return            -3{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                        46{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}                        297{5c5ba01e4f28b4dd64874166358f62106ea5bcda869a94e59d702fa1c9707720}            

[1] Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 11/29/2021

[2] Cumulative total returns since 2017

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